Mega Snow Tahoe

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Was 30' for tomorrow, now 7'.  They have no idea ans still don't.  But just in case, Honda ready to blow.

30'   ??!?!?!?!?!

 

That is a lot of snow.   hopefully it's slow melt in the spring.  

How does all this snow and rain affect the drought? Will it make a difference?

The snow will add to the snowpack in the mountains, which will help.  Most of the rain ends up in the ocean, but some tops off reservoirs and aquafiers. 
 

As we settle into a rainier pattern with temps in the 40's to low 50's, it's starting to set up like a normal winter here.  Bring on the rain.  We need it too.

I hope the 30' was really 30", but now 7'. Let us know what the depth turns out to be.

Dave, it looks like that's our pattern, too. My gas freestanding heater stopped working and I'm waiting for the repair person til Jan 25 to diagnose the problem. Then, order parts, wait, and repair... I'm really hoping for this warm temp pattern. Using electric heaters but that sucks and if the electricity goes out it'll really suck. Clothing layering helps. The heater is 26 years old and in very good shape, but...

Rain all morning.Yuk.

Screenshot 2023-01-08 at 12-24-38 Incline Village NV 10-Day Weather Forecast Weather Underground.png

Where are you seeing 30' for tomorrow, now 7', Andy? That forecast shows 2-3 feet over the next week, which is still impressive, but not 2-3 stories high.

From the NWS office in Reno, the early morning forecast discussion; 

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
314 AM PST Sun Jan 8 2023

***SERIES OF STORMS TO BRING WIDESPREAD WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS 
THROUGH THE WEEK***

.SYNOPSIS...

A colder winter storm will affect the region today, bringing snow to 
the Sierra along with light rain and snow to western Nevada. A 
strong atmospheric river event is expected to bring heavy Sierra 
snow, strong winds, and a mixture of heavy wet snow and low-
elevation flooding concerns Monday through Tuesday. The pattern 
looks to remain active through at least mid-month, with storms 
likely in the near future. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...

COLDER STORM (TODAY): 

* WINDS: A powerful extratropical cyclone is currently making 
  landfall across California. Winds have picked up from the south-
  southeast across the region due to the increased pressure gradient 
  within the warm sector. Gusts 25-35 mph are ongoing area-wide, 
  with locally higher gusts to 45 mph. Walker Lake also gusted to 77 
  mph at 12:54 AM PST as mountainwave breaking aloft caused strong 
  momentum to push down to the surface. Windy conditions will 
  continue through the day as the pressure gradient stays tight 
  ahead of the incoming cold and occluded front, which are presently 
  making landfall at this hour near and north of San Francisco. 
  Ridge winds are expected to peak above 100 mph just before noon 
  today and will remain elevated into tonight ahead of the next 
  incoming weather system.

* SNOW/RAIN: Precipitation is finally making its way into the Sierra 
  and northeast California as the warm front moves into the region. 
  A few sprinkles of rain have made it to the ground here at the 
  office. Snow levels will have a hard time dropping due to the warm 
  air advection regime in place across the region. Once heavier 
  precipitation rates begin to occur in the Sierra around 4:00-6:00 
  AM this morning, we'll see periods of moderate snow occur. We 
  could see some light snow down into western Nevada above 5000 
  feet, mainly before 10:00 AM PST. Below 5000 feet, we'll likely 
  see a rain/snow mix. Sierra snow accumulations above 7000 feet 
  will be in the 6-18" range (higher amounts over the peaks of the 
  Sierra), with 1-4" inches possible into the lower Sierra valleys. 
  Residual showers will hang around through the afternoon, before we 
  see a pause until 12:00AM-2:00 AM PST Monday, when the next wave 
  of snowfall and winds hits the Sierra. 

STRONG ATMOSPHERIC RIVER (MONDAY AM - TUESDAY PM):

* SNOW: Snow moves into the Sierra and northeast California
  beginning around 12:00-2:00 AM PST Monday. Strong shadowing
  looks to occur early Monday morning, before we see rain and even
  some snowfall down to valley floors Monday morning. We'll likely
  see less than an inch here in Reno, with higher accumulations to
  4" possible above 5000 feet. High-resolution models such as the
  NAM- 3km and HRRR are hinting at an isothermal layer occurring
  near the surface in far western Nevada Monday morning, which
  could promote the chances for accumulating snowfall. Definitely
  something to keep our eye on. The Sierra will see heavy 
  snowfall persist through the day Monday, with around 2+ feet 
  above 7000 feet possible by days end. Plan on significant travel
  delays in the Sierra. A brief break will occur Monday night, 
  before another shortwave brings cold air and snowfall to all 
  elevations Tuesday morning. Heavy snowfall looks to occur in the
  Sierra from around 4:00 AM to 10:00 AM Tuesday. With cold air 
  infiltrating the region Tuesday morning, snow levels will drop 
  below valley floors, bringing a decent chance for snowfall to 
  western Nevada. NAM-12 km and GFS guidance show the development 
  of a surface low near the Hawthorne-Gabbs-Mina area Tuesday 
  morning, similar to what occurred New Year's Eve. If this comes 
  to fruition, we could see strong frontogenesis and a deformation
  zone forming across far western Nevada, and potentially heavy 
  snowfall from just south of Reno through the Eastern Sierra and 
  southern Mineral County. We'll continue to monitor this 
  situation closely. For now, we have nudged up the snowfall 
  across the lower valleys of western Nevada from Monday evening 
  into Tuesday to account for these models hinting at these heavy 
  snowfall signals.

* RAIN/POTENTIAL FLOODING: Snow levels look to abruptly rise to
  7000- 8000 feet from 9:00 AM to around 4:00 PM Monday. Areas
  below 7000 feet will see heavy rainfall during this period. With
  the wet snowpack and soils, we have an enhanced threat for
  flooding below 6000 feet. Urban, small stream, and poor drainage
  flooding is likely Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Mainstem river
  flooding is still also a concern, but uncertainty is high due 
  to snow level uncertainties. We will likely see noticeable rises
  on the Susan, Feather, Truckee, and Carson Rivers. We'll see 
  avalanche and snow load concerns in the mountains due to this 
  heavy rainfall followed by snow into Tuesday morning.

* WINDS: Valley areas will likely see gusts as high as 45-50 mph, 
  with gusts greater than 60 mph possible in wind prone areas. 
  Sierra crest wind gusts will likely approach 150+ mph as the 
  strong subtropical jet moves overhead Monday. Plan on impacts to 
  aviation, recreation, and travel. Periods of heavier precipitation 
  will dampen winds in far western Nevada. Areas in the Basin and 
  Range and Mineral County could experience persistently strong wind 
  gusts in the 45-55 mph range. US-95 remains a big concern, 
  especially for high profile vehicles Monday. 

WEDNESDAY ONWARD:

* We'll see a brief break in the weather Wednesday into Thursday, 
  with some lingering light snow showers possible in the Sierra. 
  Otherwise we'll see mainly dry conditions across western Nevada 
  with typical breezes. Another storm is slated to impact the region 
  Thursday into next weekend, bringing more wind, rain, and snow 
  impacts. Beyond the long range, we are likely to see the storm 
  track targeted at the West Coast possibly through the end of the 
  month.
 

https://www.weather.gov/rev/#

TYPO:  Meant 30 inches.  My bad

 

Reno forecast is not Tahoe, never correct  Only 5k ft.  Look up Tahoe forecast 4 better info, 7-10k ft.  Now, back to 7 inches cement.  So exited.​Screenshot 2023-01-08 at 13-47-47 Incline Village NV 10-Day Weather Forecast Weather Underground.png

That's the discussion for the weather district the Reno office is responsible for, not the town itself (FWIW)

Reno national weather service shows Palisades got 103 inches.  How incorrect.  Yet only 80 inches at Alpine.  What bull since Alpine always, always gets more snow then palisades

 

Look at this site,  Much more accurate nationwide:  https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us/nv/incline-village/KNVINCLI15

 

Corrected 30 feet much earlier but forgot after preview to post. Judith,  is there a way to change to preview and post (I do this soooooooooo often).

Tomorrow:  Periods of snow. Snow will be heavy at times especially during the morning. Morning high of 38F with temps falling to near 30.

Latest Update:  Rain  and almost no snow.  Knew it. Hyped wat to big

Jeremy Renner

>>> Judith,  is there a way to change to preview and post <<<

Andy, I don't understand what that means. Could you explain it, please?

 

peep the snotel plots. this is the most accurate form of point data

https://wcc.sc.egov.usda.gov/nwcc/site?sitenum=518

nothing like a big dump in tahoe after a rain/freeze cycle to keep the snowpack interesting

 

My older brain cannot remember after hitting preview to then post message.  Can we add a button or change existing "preview and post?'  What happens is when I go to view,OOPS forgot to post.  Over and over....Thx Judith 

My older brain cannot remember after hitting preview to then post message.  Can we add a button or change existing "preview and post?'  What happens is when I go to view,OOPS forgot to post.  Over and over....Thx Judith 

 

PS:  did it agin

TAHOMA

z tt.jpg

"brain cannot remember after hitting preview to then post message.  Can we add a button or change existing "preview and post?'  What happens is when I go to view,OOPS forgot to post.  Over and over....Thx Judith "

This has Happened to me Several times as well we're almost retired! Have fun in da Snow Andy , lil niece is there quelque parts for the season

Could someone post a screenshot of what you see when you're posting? I think I may not see the same screen (buttons) you do when posting.

It's the only box under add a message 'preview'

Well-well.  Whether folks called for 1 inch max today.  Now, almost 3 feet.  Darn snow plow left a 4ft berm in front of driveway, ouch.

>>> It's the only box under Add a Message. It says 'preview',

but after you click on preview and see the preview, does it have a 'Post Message' button? Is it that you forget to click on that?

I guess I don't understand what's creating an obstacle or problem for you. And I'm older than you, Tommy, so I don't think that's it.

The Apple weather app said we'd have flurries for an hour this morning. Hah, just light rain.

And to all of the people who write judit with an 'h', you can keep your 'h', I don't have one and don't really want one. Someone once gave me a bunch of 'H' stickers so I could have an 'h'; I still have them in a folder somewhere.

IMG_20230110_174027.jpg

 

This is the 1st button.  Is there a way to make this Preview and Post since its the 2nd button I forget so often

 

Preview Button.jpg

And it keeps on coming.  Light fluffy finally 

 

20230110_164806.jpg

Andy, I get it now. I didn't know it was an issue til you brought it up.

Serious question, do you use the preview function to see how what you wrote looks before posting? If it were the same button as 'Post Message', how would it work? If I understand the process you have in mind I can ask lava and HeyDavey about it. I prefer having 2 buttons; I have a rhythm of/to posting that makes 'Post Message' the action that follows typing and previewing.

 

> Someone once gave me a bunch of 'H' stickers

Are you sure they weren't eyes?

Eyes?

Oh, you're thinking of them being what I would  call on their sides

Yeah, I didn't want to write Is.

I's works.

 

I met a guy named H. When he was born his parents put H____ on his birth certificate thinking they would fill in the blank later. They never did

My kid is working and in employee housing at Kirkwood Mountain, elevation 7800 to 9800 feet. The past 2 days forecast was for 55'' !!!! He doesn't have to go anywhere, works hardest on the busy weekends, then skis during the slower week days. He loves it.

^ We used to call that building the "animal house".

(I'm sure it still is)

He's working/skiing some of the best inbounds terrain in north america 

I have a friend living in Mammoth right now and he says the whole town is shut down. The last dump was 4 feet on top of tons of snow they already have with more on the way. You can walk up to their second story deck now. 

Wow youthfulness It takes me a week to cooperate from one outing.  But I snow blowed 4-days straight.  Soooooo tired, can't lift my arms.  Was going to Alpine Meadows tomorrow, now next week.  Getting older is not for the wak at heart.

Judith yes that will work:  2 buttons next to each other.  PS" If long winded, preview.  If short, post. TY

The next 9 days could see " Massive Sierra Snowfall" on top of what is already on the ground

https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1613033145053646848

Keep the H!!!

IMG_20230111_112950.jpg

 

Bss, yes it still is Animal House!

They have no restrictions on who can come and stay with the workers, leading to nightly parties into the morning hours.

I have to commend my kid, he lasted there a week there while ill, then asked to be transferred to Heavenly, where he had worked and lived on site before. Heavenly had a bit better control over the guest list and such. Ends up Kirkwood wanted to keep him so they placed him in housing with "older deadheads" and he is staying with that arrangement! He is my kid!!!!!!

We Are Everywhere!

 

Bss,     Hey at Kirkwood Animal House do you remember which tower you were in? 

Haha no way I never lived there, but friends did in high school and many years (some for way too long) after. I first partied at animal house in 10th grade! used to stay there sometimes during the real big storm cycles when the chairs still ran but the highways are all closed. I had a kw pass for around 15 years. About half of those were 100+ day seasons

San Diego sure getting some

wow. looking like north shore

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=l9MQ8ZpmrOE

Shaping up to be an epic spring.

hopefully off the DL by then.

I had a super cheap mid week pass ($199?) at Kirkwood back in the day. And you could camp in the lot. Tough place to get to after a big dump.